This is your SolarWakeup for August 7th, 2015

Look into every Governor’s mansion and then look at the most connected friends, advisors and lobbyists. In many, many instances, the closest to the Governors are also very close to the regulated utilities in the State. Nevada is a great example of it. Here is the greatest irony in energy today. When a regulated IOU asks to build a natural gas plant the present a cost study to build and operate the plant including a forward cost curve for the fuel costs that are expected. But who takes the fuel cost risk? Not the utility or the shareholders but the ratepayers. This, my friends, is likely the largest energy subsidy in the energy markets.

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Yann


This is your SolarWakeup for August 6th, 2015

Sunrun goes public and SolarCity goes South of the border. Solar IPOs have been following a trend. From SolarCity’s last minute save by lowering the pricing to $8 per share (now trades over $50) to today’s IPO pricing in the middle of the range and then an early drop. What seems to be happening is that solar savvy investors understand solar while the retail market is still struggling with it. Remember that almost all solar companies show a loss per share due to increased investments in assets to put on balance sheet. Over time this will even out when companies are able to rephrase what is actually happening. It’s all about marketing at the end of the day.

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Yann


This is your SolarWakeup for August 5th, 2015

Huge day for solar! At 9:30am, the team from Sunrun will be ringing the bell at the NASDAQ as the stock is expected to price at around $14 per share. The first trade will be expected around 10am under the ticker “RUN”. It’s not easy to get a solar company off the ground and take it public, huge shout out to Ed Fenster and Lynn Jurich for leading their team to this latest round of financing. The celebration will not last long as you can see in the remaining stories today, net metering attacks in California, Arizona, and Nevada continue, some of the largest markets for the company and residential solar.

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Yann


This is your SolarWakeup for August 4th, 2015

As the President launched the final Clean Power Plan, opponents of the plan fell all over each other to make their case against it. Funny thing about the Plan. Page 637, highlighted thanks to Politico’s Mike Grunwald, says it best. “Consistent with what their [renewable generation] trends would be in absence of the rule”, the economic drivers of renewables are a factor so great that solar would reach its growth regardless. Tomorrow is another good day for solar as Sunrun will be heading to New York City to celebrate its IPO according to the NASDAQ website.

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Yann


This is your SolarWakeup for August 3rd, 2015

The President will be launching the final Climate Plan tomorrow which will be more aggressive than the proposed plan. Tomorrow you will see where industries stand when it comes to the 21st Century Energy economy. Utilities often speak of their “responsibility to serve”, covered by the guaranteed rates of return in the double digits by providing sub par customer service to millions of customers. I think the “responsibility to serve” will have to transition to the “opportunity to serve” for the evolution of the energy sector. Just take a look at the EEI statement on the topic. More to come about EEI this week.

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Yann


These are the top 10 most read solar articles by your peers this week!

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The Top 10 is ranked by the number of SolarWakeup.com readers that clicked on the news article during the previous week. It is the poll of the most relevant solar news of the week as judged by your colleagues and competitors.

Have a great day!
Yann


This is your SolarWakeup for July 31st, 2015

I like to think that the SolarWakeup community is pretty successful, I mean you all wake up each day and read the solar news and maybe even glance at my thoughts. My guess is that every reader either has or would like a Tesla. So let’s put the community to the test. One of our readers has been a Tesla Model S driver for a few years, yesterday he received the email from Elon Musk saying that if he gets 10 people to buy a Model S, and is the first one to do so, he gets a free Model X. You get $1000 off your model S, which isn’t too bad as the car keeps getting more affordable with each new edition. Here is the landing page for the referral, let’s win a Tesla for a SolarWakeup friend

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Yann


This is your SolarWakeup for July 30th, 2015

A lot going on today that I want to tell you about. First, ever since the IPO of the SunPower/First Solar yieldco, the metric for solar IPPs has been CAFD (cash available for distribution). Yesterday, SolarCity went the non-GAAP route and released a memo on the topic. Second, look at large corporates to continue to be internally conflicted on solar and then trend to being pro-solar because it is good for business. Berkshire Hathaway is the biggest of them all, an owner of some of the worst utilities and coal transporting railroads it is also becoming one of the largest owners of solar asset owners including community solar.

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Yann


This is your SolarWakeup for July 29th, 2015

Growth comes in all shapes and sizes. For SolarCity it was the full stack of residential offerings and large corporates with public credit. Now comes the last remaining aspect of the US solar market, small and medium commercial. Reading between the lines, the company is looking to get into unrated and private credits. The press release is heavy on simpler technology and in-house crews but that’s only a cost item. The last SolarCity ABS still had a FICO average in the 700s and the strategy has to be more than lower costs and scale. SolarCity is planning something else to combat the financial structuring, let’s see where it goes.

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Yann


This is your SolarWakeup for July 28th, 2015

David Roberts from Vox has the right headline today. Solar (especially rooftop) is booming due to cost declines, more innovative financing structures and fair regulatory policies. With the ITC and net metering being attacked daily (see today’s “ratepayer advocate” from Arizona) you can see how quickly this could go sideways for solar. Just think about how much money is spent by solar companies on public policy and regulatory research. This money isn’t spent for the good of solar. It is spent for the good of the companies that lobby for the policies that drive their business model.

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Yann