This is your SolarWakeup for March 23rd, 2018
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Vote Solar. Big congrats to the entire team at Vote Solar and thank you for everyone that came to the Equinox fundraiser. The solar champions will continue to speak up for our industry and we are lucky to have such great supporters in and out of our sector. Consider putting more policy in your schedule and budget. Your time and money is needed to achieve the 10 - 10 - 10 efforts that will make our industry sustain itself against all attacks.
Steyer’s Ballot Initiatives. Frank has a great story from Arizona about the RPS ballot initiative. APS is looking to preemptively cut the legs off the voters efforts to make their energy system more sustainable. Always sad to see the will of the voters reduced by a monopoly. Steyer is backing ballot initiatives in three States - NV, AZ and CO. I like this move and the timing is perfect.
All About Illinois. Together we will start the road to learn more about the Illinois market. We will be announcing great SolarWakeup Live! news including plans to head to the Land of Lincoln and site of a solar gold rush. Some news from my friends at EDF on the topic.
Now The 301 Tariffs. I can’t keep up with the near weekly trade tariffs on China from the Oval office. The 301 tariffs could impact the solar industry and I will reserve more comment and detail until an expert has given me the details.
Microsoft Solar Non-Resi Deal. Microsoft has signed a corporate off take agreement for 315MW of solar. Under the new SEIA solar market insight, I guess this is the Virginia version of community solar (the deal is likely under a contract for difference) since it sells energy to a corporate customer. Have a great weekend!
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Yann
This is your SolarWakeup for March 22nd, 2018
Short opening today, long day of meetings and jet lag are getting the best of me.
See You Tonight? Make sure you say hello tonight at Vote Solar’s Equinox in San Francisco. This is a great event to celebrate solar and those that fight on the front lines of the regulatory battles for us all. It is not too late to buy your ticket to the event and toast our industry.
Going For 100. Last year, California’s legislators got close to passing a 100% RPS. This year it could actually happen. 27 organizations including Vote Solar have banded together to push for the legislation to become law. Read Frank’s coverage here and look forward to more commentary as discussions begin.
Southeast Solar. The top story yesterday was the headline of more solar in the Southeast. This is the reminder that Florida has massive capacity growth with essentially no market. Only the IOUs are building substantial capacity and ratepayers are footing this bill with no transparency on how much it would cost if this was a competitive process instead of utility owned.
Wakeup Live. Get your tickets to our event. Hear my interview with the contract manager looking for solar projects in California.
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Yann
This is your SolarWakeup for March 21st, 2018
Arizona Coverage. Frank has your recent news coverage from Arizona. Don’t forget that you can send tips to frank@solarwakeup.com or by hitting reply here. If you want to stay anonymous, head to solarwakeup.com and click the tips link, you can even upload files without revealing your identity.
Don’t Forget Puerto Rico. It’s been 6 months that Hurricane Maria hit Puerto Rico and many are still without power. The recovery effort has failed many Puerto Rico that have now had to relocate to other States across America.
Reducing Property Taxes. Florida had a big ballot initiative to eliminate property taxes that could be due after installing solar on commercial properties. An Arizona judge also ruled on this issue this week. Of all the headwinds that face C&I solar, property tax can be one of them and removing it makes it easier. Much like the cost and structure of loans to do solar, C&I solar has to do all it can to overcome cheap energy rates it is offsetting. Speaking of debt for commercial solar, many of you are in Denver for a PACE conference. PACE has lowered the cost of capital quite a bit but more importantly for C&I solar is a better structure for many businesses. Most of the time, the debt is for the property and not the operating business which makes it a better fit for balance sheets.
Equinox 2018. This is your last call to join me and many others at Vote Solar’s important fundraiser on Thursday. You can buy your ticket at equinox2018.splashthat.com.
Presented By ‘You’. Do you want the SolarWakeup community to hear your message? You can sponsor this paragraph for an entire month leading up to our event in San Francisco. Join the many sponsors that were able to message, recruit and gain more exposure on this platform. Email me for more details.
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Yann
This is your SolarWakeup for March 20th, 2018
Clean Energy Credit Union. A new podcast for your listening pleasure. Recorded live at COSEIA’s conference last week, I sat with Clean Energy Credit Union’s CEO and Board Chair. Terri and Blake walked me through the start of this endeavor and the solar problem they are looking to solve. The whole concept is to show that a true lower cost of capital is possible for solar lending and this could lead the way. If you enjoyed this podcast, consider leaving a review on iTunes.
South Carolina. There are some things happening in South Carolina. With the embarrassing nuclear escapade by SCANA, the State should consider making a shift into the solar future. Frank breaks it down for you with some information from local coverage. For me, South Carolina is a great political bellweather that could show red, southern states on how solar can be an economic engine for the future. The entire solar industry should push for South Carolina to find a victory for our industry.
Nat Gas, The End Is Near? I’ve written about speaker plants in California having a hard time getting capacity contracts extended and the CPUC has been negative on letting PG&E repower some plants. LADWP also put a large project on hold pending more analysis. What I wasn’t expecting is hearing that the Arizona Commission would put new natural gas on a moratorium to give solar + storage further review. Remember, TEP entered into a contract for $45/MWh on a solar plus storage plant. A moratorium now means that gas may have reached the end in Arizona, what State will drop next?
EV Growth And Consolidation. EV growth in China has been quite quick and maybe too quick (more on that soon). Europe and North America have been far more measured in its growth and it may have been for the best. Too much investment too early may cause for a market disruption instead of sustainable market stability.
San Francisco. This town is becoming my second home. While many of you are in San Diego for the finance conference, I’ll be in SF. Hopefully many of you will be coming up for Vote Solar’s equinox this week and to SolarWakeup Live! on April 10th. I’ll be in SF to continue figuring out how PACE financing can help C&I solar grow. Access to low cost, long term debt is a great way for the business owners to go solar. Send me an email if you’d like to be connected with the great team at CleanFund.
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Yann
This is your SolarWakeup for March 19th, 2018
C&I and Community Solar. Last week as we went through the 2017 Solar Market Insight, I was a bit surprised to see that non-residential (C&I) grew in a year where the market corrected from the 2016 rush. As I walked through the numbers and checked with SEIA, I was surprised to find out that the category included community solar. I don’t understand the logic of this, given that almost all community solar projects are large ground mount projects. The notion that community solar is as logical as LADWP FIT deals being considered utility scale. It would also require contract for difference/direct access projects to be considered as non-residential in this line of thought. I don’t see how any of that would work out and therefore believe that the Solar Market Insight needs to be revised with community solar going into the utility scale category.
Women in Solar, Sunrun and Johns Hopkins. Lynn Jurich is probably the best known woman in solar and deservedly so, taking Sunrun from infancy to IPO and beyond. I’d love to see her not he mainstream airwaves more given her position as a public company CEO, CNBC needs her on a regular appearance to counter the daily Joe Kernen nonsense. Sunrun has grown up in many ways as well. Years ago, it was squeezed between SolarCity and Vivint Solar when it appeared that SunEdison’s acquisition of Vivint Solar would make it hard for Sunrun to rise above, with many calling for the company to sell to a strategic so it would not suffer from possible closure. I would be remiss not to point out the Johns Hopkins University (Go Hop!) alumni, Ed Fenster who founded the company alongside Lynn a decade ago.
Germany’s Opportunity. Decarbonization ‘experts’ like to point out that Germany, with all the wind and solar, is increasing its carbon output, mostly due to the intense use of coal power. (Natural gas has been a political problem given much of it comes from Russia) That being said, I see a real opportunity for Germany to get to 100% renewable energy very quickly with large scale integration of energy storage. Offshore win is readily available to make up for the Alaska equivalent solar output. I grew up in and worked in Germany for many years and this feels like a restart of the great market which served as a baseline for the global growth.
Will SunPower Get Relief? SunPower filed its request for exemption from the 201 tariff on Friday. Frank has your coverage on this, right here
A Poll On Your Work. I’m hoping to spend more time on working to get your involvement with policy makers to increase. The goal is to get you to spend 10 hours per year with legislators and perhaps one day to the same level as union painters, 10 hours per month. The first step is to get you to tell me about your company, and if you make things. There is a focus on manufacturing in solar right now, so this is step 1 in our journey together. I can’t do this alone but as a team we will get better at this organizing. Take this poll
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Yann
This is your SolarWakeup for March 16th, 2018
Solar Messaging. This morning, most media outlets released their coverage of the 2017 solar market data which showed headlines of a 30% overall drop and drop in residential solar sector. So if your editor wants an Elon Musk failed or Trump kills solar headline, you could have written it with that focus. Coverage from Axios and CNBC, which don’t tend to have an anti-solar tweak didn’t come out with the most positive headlines. At SolarWakeup, I see what gets clicks and bad headlines are adored by readers so that’s part of the story but the other part of it was the messaging. 2016 was a banner year for political reasons and 2017 had 201 headwinds throughout the year. You’d have to get to the bottom of the press release to see that so while no-one in solar was surprised when I spoke with them, the non-solar worker reading mainstream headlines would think this space is struggling.
Scary Grid Stuff. Utility execs stay awake at night thinking about cyber attacks against the grid. Now the Trump administration is making he known unknown visible to the masses. Personally I don’t know what to do with the information except add it to the bullets on the slide of why the energy system needs more distributed generation and flexibility.
Trade And Manufacturing. China hawk Peter Navarro is telling Wall Street to ‘just relax’ regarding the tariffs. Saying that our trade deficits need to be stood up against. I have a question for Navarro. What would you say to the American worker that takes raw aluminum that is imported to the US and makes patented US manufactured solar racking products? Just relax? What do you say to the banker, lawyer and solar developer that just dropped a 20MW deal in Texas because of a solar module tariff? Just relax? Now that 201 manufacturing hype is coming back to reality, the cheerleaders of ‘new manufacturing’ are nowhere to be found because they are wrong, as wrong as most of them have been over the years on most things solar.
Weekend, Next Week. For the readers that joined our March Madness bracket, most of you are rooting big for UVA. For the two of you that picked Arizona to win it all, you will not be writing a SolarWakeup paragraph this year. Next week we will all get together with our friends from Vote Solar. It’s not too late for you to join me in San Francisco and lots of your solar friends. Reminder, if you spend $1,000 or more on tickets you get a space in this opening text. Just send me the receipt.
WAKEUP20. In 4 weeks, many of you will be with me as we bring SolarWakeup Live! to San Francisco to hear from leaders in venture capital, policy and CCA energy procurement. I’d love for your to join me as well, take 20% off an already very cheap ticket.
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Yann
This is your SolarWakeup for March 15th, 2018
2017 Solar Market Data Is Out. Frank has the details for you on the 2017 data that is out fresh this morning. 2016 kicked 2017’s a$$ but we knew that was coming. 2016 had two big advantages on 2017, the ITC pull forward and the 201 fight in 2017. As an industry we still surpassed 10GW in total capacity with utility scale leading the way once again. Resi retracted but non-residential made some gains. We’ve got the reaction from across the solar industry for you to judge against your own thoughts. One thing to consider is that solar came in behind natural gas but just yesterday the Arizona regulators put a halt on all new natural gas in Arizona unless the utilities request a waiver and show that solar plus storage is not a better choice. (Hint: this may be the start of the end for new gas) Here’s the full story.
Things You’ll Find On Twitter. Having the ability to report on original content is giving me a new look on Twitter, especially as I sit in airports across the Country. This time I ran across a tweet storm from an NRDC attorney, Miles Farmer, who was giving the play by play on a new FERC filing. It’s worth a read and consideration when you realize that our market is still subject to so many different levels of regulation that many of us never think of.
The Koch Re-Education. Last year we spoke about the moves by utilities and Koch backed groups to pay for community leaders to preach anti-solar in churches across the solar belt. The gig appears to be over as new economic opportunities are shown in our industry and community leaders are pushing back. Misleading education is apparent across the country and anytime it falls flat is a good day.
Larry Kudlow. Is going to be the next Gary Cohn, aka #1 economic advisor to Trump. Kudlow loves Reagan and Art Laffer. For Kudlow, the free market will solve all problems. Which means that all tariffs will be gone by the end of next week! Well, that is unlikely to happen because Kudlow is going to realize that he will either have played a free market capitalist on TV or his stay in the White House will be short lived. This is a reminder that Scaramucci also spent a lot of time on the CNBC air over the years.
3 Million EVs. Volkswagen is planning on building 3 million EVs in 2025. That’s only 6 years from now and I wouldn’t be surprised if they beat that. Energy demand growth curves may be flat over the past decade but don’t expect that trend to stay the same. With announcements like these, I am not surprised that companies like EVgo are making big executive moves in anticipation of growth.
Wakeup San Francisco. New speaker announcement! Joining the discussion is Lindsay Saxby of Marin Clean Energy, a CCA that has been an active buyer for solar energy. Lindsay is the Power Supply Contracts Manager for MCE and will be a great discussion about how CCAs operate in the grid and the role they could play for our sector. You can get your tickets here for the event just 4 weeks from now.
March Madness Bracket. SolarWakeup is having the 1st annual March Madnessbracket challenge and it’s free. Go to ESPN Tournament Challenge and search for SolarWakeup group. The password is GoSolar. The more folks we have, the more fun we will have. The winner gets to write the opening paragraph and promote their agenda, company or cause. You must fill out your brackets today, before the first game starts.
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Yann
This is your SolarWakeup for March 14th, 2018
COSEIA. Join me tomorrow in Denver as I interview the team behind the Clean Energy Federal Credit Union, a project years in the making. What questions do you want to hear answers to? How can the lending community help your business?
Taxes and Tariffs. We will be talking a lot more about tariffs this week but it’s clear that tax reform and tariffs had a huge effect on the year solar had in 2017. Now that those things are figured out, people are back to putting their heads down and getting stuff done. Question for you, what is it going to take for C&I to get into the multi-MW scale?
Semis and Buses. I am intrigued by the business opportunities that electric vehicles present in our energy future. Made more interesting by the deployment of electric semis and buses in fleets of the future. First, electric vehicles are simply better. Second, we have a lot of work to do to enable the fleets to not be affected by long duration charging. My guess is we are a few years from energy demand growing in the US.
He Is Back. Arnold, man of many accomplishments, has a major task ahead of him. He is suing the oil companies for their failure to disclose the health risks of climate change. Comparing it to the tobacco companies, he wants to use civil litigation to drive some change. I wonder if he’s been approached to help the solar space.
San Francisco. We will have some big news including another speaker for Wakeup Live SF this week, mark April 10th on your calendar to join your colleagues.
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Yann
This is your SolarWakeup for March 13th, 2018
Old Grid, New Energy. Some of today’s best stories are on Twitter when an expert gives his take in the snippet format. Sometimes that information gets covered by our Frank Andorka (reminder: you can send anonymous tips from solarwakeup.com or email him or myself). In this case, he covered the responses by the various ISOs to FERC’s request for information about resiliency. This is part of the NOPR process we saw a few months ago. The takeaway, our grid isn’t made for new energy generation and wires are the weakest link. His story here.
Big Time Virginia Legislation. A big utility bill that passed the Virginia legislature and has now been signed by Governor Northam. Amongst the many issues this bill tackles, it declares 5GW of solar and wind development in the public interest. Bills like this take years to accomplish and solar’s role was in the weeds for much of that time. One of the people that I know was deeply involved in this is Scott Thomasson of Vote Solar. If you plan on doing business in Virginia, come say thank you in person at Equinox 2018. More coverage on this coming shortly, check solarwakeup.com in a few hours.
Overhyping Bad News. Yesterday there was an article about solar taking a break in California. It was the top story you clicked on and therefore we covered it. First, top gravitating to the bad headlines. Second, most of these articles are clickbait based on misread data. So we set the record straight in our afternoon story so that you get the complete picture.
RPS Ballot Initiatives. 2018 is going to be a big year for ballot initiatives. Amongst the many issues across the Country are three RPS questions being posed in Arizona, Nevada and Michigan. I’m optimistic that these questions will do well at the polls not only because of a wave but because people like the idea of more clean energy in the wake of closing power plants.
See You There? I am waiting for two confirmations of great interviews to join two already great solar leaders, Bernadette Del Chiaro and Danny Kennedy. The venue selection is going on now so if you expect to attend, get your tickets now. Event is on April 10th.
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Yann
This is your SolarWakeup for March 12th, 2018
Prosumerism Consolidation. Before Innogy existed and E.ON split itself, RWE and E.ON were the German utilities trying to make sense of the new direction of the power economy. Germany led the way in solar before everyone else and eventually RWE and E.ON realized they had two distinct businesses. Power plants and consumer services. Both of them created a prosumer business, spun out from the parent company. Now, E.ON is acquiring innogy, the RWE prosumer business in a complicated transaction. For solar, especially in the US, it doesn’t mean much except for a bigger player on the block in E.On. Both entities have been investing heavily, more on that to come. Most notable units with the transaction is Belectric (owned by innogy) which appears to be heading to RWE once the transaction closes.
Vote Solar’s Michigan Report. Frank Andorka covered the report released by Vote Solar late last week. We’ve talked about the strategic shift in Vote Solar’s tactics to opine on issues that otherwise wouldn’t affect solar except now solar is a better choice for consumers. This report presents the data to make it so and hopefully the regulators will listen. These types of projects are not free nor cheap. Vote Solar needs your help to make markets like Michigan prosper so you can do business there. Join me and hundreds of solar friends at Equinox 2018 in San Francisco next week on the 22nd. Reminder: if you buy 10 tickets and send me the receipt, you get to write a paragraph here.
Storage Market(s). Make sure to catch my conversation about dc-coupled energy storage or read the write up from Frank. This was recorded at SolarWakeup Live! New York. A lot of hype about dc-coupled has got storage companies claiming big things but I spoke with one that has had it up and running for a year. If you are doing solar farms or C&I, you’ve got to be thinking about storage.
Oklahoma? My friends know that this is the State that I want to make the poster child of energy systems. So when I read about EV growth in Oklahoma and feedback from people that bought an EV, I get excited. OG&E and the other utilities have such a great opportunity to send us a postcard from the future.
SolarWakeup Live San Francisco. The second speaker to join us on the SolarWakeup Live! stage is Bernadette Del Chiaro, the Executive Director of California Solar and Storage Association. Everyone knows Bernadette and the work she’s done to bring CalSSA to where it is today. She is going to be a great conversation and will give us the insight on the legislative agenda ahead for the largest market in America. Get your tickets now, WAKEUP20 for 20% off.
March Madness Bracket. SolarWakeup is having the 1st annual March Madness bracket challenge and it’s free. Go to ESPN Tournament Challenge and search for SolarWakeup group. The password is GoSolar. The more folks we have, the more fun we will have. The winner gets to write the opening paragraph and promote their agenda, company or cause. Must have your bracket complete by Tip-off on the 18th.
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Yann