I will be boarding my flight to Chicago shortly and want to thank the incredible SolarWakeup family for making this another fantastic event. After the day of conversations, we will be much more knowledgeable about the solar market in Illinois and how to make some money and create lots of change. See you there!
Getting Into Permitting With Abby Hopper. Frank ‘sits’ down with Abby Hopper of SEIA and discusses the idea of creating more efficiency in the permitting process. It’s great to see the leadership from SEIA have a focus on this issue which is not a defensive policy agenda item. Well worth the 3 minutes to read through and hope you tell SEIA that you appreciate their involvement on this.
A Downgrade For Utilities. Moody’s is raising a red flag. We’ve talked about how big utilities have gotten over the recent years and much of that is financed with access to really cheap debt through corporate bonds. Those bonds are really low coupons, many of the big IOUs have interest rates below 4% for long term capital mainly due to the security offered by the regulated service areas and the associated rate base. Those bonds are trading below par which is not a good thing in a capital market where rates are rising. Lay regulatory uncertainty over that risk and things could get ugly. Keep watching this space.
Mainstream Media Catches On. There is a risk to our short term energy policy surrounded by the starts and stops caused by some State legislatures. The risk is that investors lose confidence in companies and cause the liquidation to occur or sell the company prematurely to someone that sees a longer term vision. Of course, there are other aspects of this that differentiate the US and China but having a longer time horizon is definitely one of them. Now that solar panels are basically double the price than they could be, the US could do a reset and remove the tariffs and duties and double down on the energy transition.
Houston’s Solar Ecosystem. It’s interesting to speak with energy companies in the Houston ecosystem about solar and storage these days. Houston made its mark prospecting and playing the upside which is exactly the vision for solar in the next iteration. Bidding a $25/MWh solar PPA for 20 years is fine, it finances easily and requires tight operations. But there is no upside and little ability to play the spread in a sale. Solar with storage operated in a competitive market, that’s what I’m talking about and Houston gets that, check out the Chronicle’s coverage.
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Yann
By Frank Andorka, Senior Correspondent
By Frank Andorka, Senior Correspondent
At the beginning of June, the Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA) co-hosted a meeting in San Francisco, the purpose of which was to find ways to reduce extra costs associated with going solar. These costs, known as soft costs, include the cost of permitting, inspections, customer acquisition and other issues. SolarWakeup caught up with SEIA's President and CEO Abigail Ross Hopper to discuss how the meeting went and what the next steps will be. SolarWakeup: What was the purpose of this first meeting? Abigail Ross Hopper (ARH): This was an introductory meeting, and as such, we think we did a nice job of laying the issues on the table. The next step broadly will be to identify concrete solutions, and determine specifically what it’s going to take to dramatically reduce soft costs. We see this as both a real and a critically important opportunity for the industry. SWup: Why is the issue of permitting so important to the industry? ARH: The process to design, permit, inspect and interconnect is much more burdensome in the United States than it is in other developed economies. Inconsistent interpretations of the rules (which can be national, regional, and local) from jurisdiction to jurisdiction makes the process inefficient and costly for both solar companies and permitting offices while also leading to customer frustration during a lengthy permitting process. That customer frustration can lead to contract cancelation, meaning all the time and money spent on such customers is lost and must be made up on systems that are completed. All in all, this contributes to a typical residential PV system in the U.S. costing about twice as much as a typical system in Australia. The current permitting and inspection process exists to ensure the safe installation of the system but there is a better, more effective way. SWup: How can the industry participate? ARH: Several organizations and companies, including Sunrun, Mosaic, SEIA and The Solar Foundation (TSF), are co-leading an effort, in collaboration with other companies and organizations, to develop a plan to thoughtfully streamline the process in the U.S. while maintaining high safety and quality of work standards. SEIA will build on the expertise and success of its Codes & Standards work and TSF will build off the work of its SolSmart program. Industry can participate and shape the campaign by joining SEIA and learning about and espousing to cities the successes of SolSmart. SWup: What conclusions were reached at the meeting? ARH: The participants are continuing discussions to develop and finalize an aggressive plan of action. Organizations and companies have seen a clear need to address this problem and have made commitments to work on this to reduce soft costs. More details to come soon. SWup: What affect do you see these discussions having on the segment? ARH: This is about making solar more affordable. More affordable means more accessible to more Americans and businesses. Cutting deadweight loss and unnecessary steps and costs benefit everyone. SWup: What is the next step? ARH: We’re continuing to build the coalition and assess what it is going to take to do this right. But real support in resources and funding from the industry will be crucial. SWup: What policy prescriptions at the federal or state level can help move the needle on this? ARH: This issue does not fall neatly into federal or state policy lines but there are opportunities to engage at national, state and local levels. All will be necessary in the end. For more background on the permitting initiative outlined by Abby, you can catch Yann's interview with Andrew Birch
By Frank Andorka, Senior Correspondent
By Frank Andorka, Senior Correspondent
Vistra Owns Gas and Coal, Buys Big Storage. Yesterday, word went out that Vistra Energy selected FlexGen for its first energy storage plant. The 10MW / 42MWh system is being added to the Upton 2 Solar Farm, which is located in Texas and has a capacity of 180MW. You’ve heard about FlexGen here on SolarWakeup, as I interviewed their CEO, Josh Prueher, on SolarWakeup Live! a few months ago. Vistra has been in the news because it bought Dynegy and owns 41GW of power across the Country and has in recent times announced the closure of over 4GW of coal. This project is the largest in Texas but I expect this to be surpassed even by itself. Definitely a big win for FlexGen, a longtime supporter of this publication.
What Does This Mean? Let’s hear it directly from the Vistra CEO who spoke to CNBC’s Jim Cramer a few months ago and said that coal will not have a renaissance and the cost of storage is dropping dramatically. This was at the same time that the company was building the Upton 2 solar farm but had not finalized the storage project which now makes financial sense for the shareholders investing in the project. My continued expectation is that storage has the ability to turn renewables into the replacement for power plants we need to get to 100% renewables.
Vistra Sees More Storage In CA and NY. What if, Vistra’s portfolio is replaced by storage? I don’t mean around the edges but MW for MW of capacity. I know this is a hypothetical but if you read the expectations from the Vistra investor’s day presentation, you see that they expect big storage in CA and NY in particular. For example, Dynegy has a couple of power plants in California in load centers near the Bay Area, including Oakland which was a particular focus in the last PG&E storage RFP. That’s 165MW of oil generation replaced by energy storage without generation that could come from faraway solar. You can see the GWh of storage adding up really quickly.
Picking Winners And Losers May Not Work. With an economic policy that looks to pick winners from a previous decade, it looks like the market is saying they don’t care. Even coal operators are shrugging their shoulders at the efforts to save power plants through emergency measures.
Will I See You In Chicago? We’re starting the day with the director of the Illinois Power Agency which recently set the subsidy levels for low income, community solar and C&I solar and working our way through discussions with policy and market experts. No matter what market segment you work in, come join the crowd to get your networking and dealmaking skills on. solarwakeuplive.com for tickets. See you Thursday!
Have a great day!
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Have a great day!
Yann
