This is your SolarWakeup for July 3rd, 2018

Reminder that SolarWakeup will be off for the 4th of July. Please be safe and enjoy your day with your family. We will be back on Thursday before heading to San Francisco for InterSolar.

The Fight For 21st Century Power. Glad that the full time reporters are catching up but here is a recap on the upcoming battle caused by the electric vehicle industry. Fundamentally, this is the first time ever that utilities that generate and deliver electricity will be competing with oil companies that create and deliver fuel for transportation. If transportation moves to electricity as a fuel you can see how utilities take market share from oil companies. That is why, even in the greenest States like California, it is very difficult to pass aggressive EV policies. Moreover, electric vehicles threaten the internal combustion engine manufacturing sector which causes further disruption. On the other hand, oil companies make more profits, billions every quarter, and it’s a cheap proposition for them to get into the electric space especially through the solar industry. I’m still a bit surprised at the pace and strategy by the oil companies. I find none to be advantaged tactically over others or any of their acquisitions and investments surprising, yet.

It’s Time For GWh. What is a utility to do if it doesn’t find natural gas peaker plants to be cost effective generation for its customers? In PG&E’s case, build storage. A massive storage plant. Last week I mentioned that it could be possible that the Oakland peaker plant could become a storage asset but I was wrong by a hundred miles or so. The Moss Landing plant owned by Vistra will become a 1.2GWh storage asset, this coming just a few weeks after they announced their 180MWh plant with our friends at FlexGen. Who wants to wager the over/under date on when storage falls below $100/kWh?

Will Arizona Follow Michigan? Tom Steyer looked at three States for his RPS ballot initiatives. Arizona, Nevada and Michigan. Michigan has already come to terms with him plan and it looks like Arizona could be close behind. The RPS is a policy, within monopoly markets, that can be a great policy for utilities that need reasons to transition generation due to policy and increase rate base. Quite frankly, if I were the CEO of APS, I’d be all over the plan for a 100% solar utility and my shareholders would love me for it because my customer net promoter score would be 99.

The Unsung Success In Haiti. Let’s take a moment to thank the folks that are still working hard and adding solar in Haiti which is by far the poorest Country in the Western hemisphere and a close friend to the community in South Florida. I can’t imagine how hard it is to add a few panels to areas in the poorest sections of Haiti, just the logistics alone seem daunting. But thankfully there are folks still doing it and making a difference. A small battery with a few panels can change the life of someone living without electricity.

Silicon Jobs. This is your quarterly reminder that the first AD/CVD caused a retaliatory tariff on US silicon which hurt REC in Washington State and Hemlock in the midwest. Tariffs are bad for everyone.

Presented by Sunrun. Sunrun is the largest residential solar, storage and energy services company in the United States with a mission to create a planet run by the sun. Since establishing the solar as a service model in 2007, Sunrun continues to lead the industry in providing clean energy to homeowners with little to no upfront cost and at a savings to traditional electricity. Sunrun is excited to expand its solar offerings to Illinois residents.

Opinion

Have a great day!

Yann

 

This is your SolarWakeup for July 2nd, 2018

Impact Of Mobility On Solar. It doesn’t appear to be happening a lot yet but I think there is a natural overlap between the mobility and solar markets. I am taking this beyond the EV charger under a solar carport. More interesting is the value of the PPAs between solar owners and C&I clients or homeowners and going back for an upsell. Many of the land use documents are already in place so why not go in and add more technology. Are you in either sector and actually going after this? Have any mobility companies reached out to you? Let me know.

Delisting Yingli Solar. If you are like me, you’ve been watching plenty of global football over the past few weeks. One thing that is different is the missing Yingli Solar ads on the banners around the stadiums which were everywhere when the World Cup was in Brazil 4 years ago. The Yingli name will also disappear from the NYSE as they are getting delisted. Are these modules still moving around the US market?

Adapting Tesla’s Solar Business. There is no doubt that SolarCity (sorry, I can’t call it Tesla yet) has taken a turn away from the clear leading role in solar. Cutting the speed of growth took much of the sales push away while the rest of the industry has been able to push upward as well. I know many in solar partake in the Tesla bashing, especially in solar, but I would say that the bigger story is what has happened to the growth of the local installer. Doing 1MW or more per year is no longer unique, it’s actually quite necessary in many instances. The distributed nature of residential solar is exactly why I made the move into the sector. Many great companies have the ability to serve consumers with great customer service and the same financing options that originally gave SolarCity the advantage.

Consolidation Is Good For Resi Solar. When the news broke a few weeks ago that SunCommon and Hudson Solar were merging, I read with interest. Mergers are a great way to grow in a market that is tight on the margins and for installers it means more volume to negotiate with distributors and finance providers. The news this week really made me excited because seeing business operation financing for solar companies means it’s another signal about markets understanding and appreciating solar.

Presented by Pfister Energy – Pfister Energy is a turnkey design-build renewable energy provider for commercial, industrial, utility, and community projects with an emphasis on energy efficiency and energy management. We possess 25 years of project experience with over 120 MW of solar installed on rooftops, carports and on unused land nationally. Clean energy is not limited to solar and as part of our smart building-integrated energy plan, we provide holistic solutions by stacking solar, LED lighting, wind, daylighting and other energy efficiency systems combined with storage.  Visit www.pfisterenergy.com for more information.

Opinion

Have a great day!

Yann

 

This is your SolarWakeup for June 29th, 2018

I hope you have a great weekend. I am headed back to the East Coast for a week and will be back in San Francisco for Intersolar. Are you coming?

Protecting Consumers. SEIA is out with a revised consumer protections document meant to give homeowners information and questions to use during a home buying process. It would make sense for ‘good’ contractors that use quality products and stand behind their work to attach the document to their proposals with their answers to the list of questions. If you provide the homeowner with the document with answers, they are likely to use the document with your competitors that may not hold themselves to the same standards.

Time For Power Companies To Go Private. When you look at the IPP marketplace in the US it’s no longer surprising to me that the most innovative (for large corporations) are the foreign IPPs with largely European shareholders. Companies like NRG and Sempra have faced activist investors that push for a quarterly focus on traditional power and monetization of any renewable facilities. That being said, the global IPPs may be too big to make the real innovative change that can be game changing. One of the activist influenced IPPs should consider going public and going the other way. Instead of quarterly focus, they can partner with long term yield investors to create the future we think possible.

Supreme Court Impact On Environment. What does it mean for the environmental policies when Justice Kennedy retires and is replaced this summer. An interesting, albeit sometimes small, issue that could result in a change of view on the current policies and rules. Aside from this retirement, Commission Powelson of FERC is retiring after just a year. He may be the swing vote on the coal and nuclear emergency bailout issue. More on this to come.

Divesting Political Campaign Funds. Politics continue to play a role in the energy space, which should come to no surprise to any of you. After the NY-14 primary upset and a primary of his own, Governor Cuomo is signing the No Fossil Fuel Money Pledge. If you recall, the Democratic primary in Virginia put the donations of the utility at issue but without the result of the eventual nominee to stop taking the money. It seems like the issue is evolving and we will end up with all candidates taking the position of not taking money from oil, gas, and utilities.

Presented by ENGIE. ENGIE (formerly SoCore Energy) is a market leader in commercial, industrial, and distributed solar and storage portfolio development with installations across some 25 states. ENGIE offers commercial and industrial companies, electric cooperatives, and communities solar and storage solutions that provide energy cost savings, increased resiliency and carbon reduction opportunities.

Opinion

Have a great day!

Yann

 

This is your SolarWakeup for June 28th, 2018

Palmetto State Showdown. I’m starting to realize that the legislature in SC may be playing dirty with the solar industry. For the second time, last second rules have stopped the net metering cap from being increase and the cap is rapidly approaching. This is going to cause the halt of the market and potential loss of jobs for South Carolinians. Hopefully this can be turned around next year in earnest.

Electrify Everything Says SMUD. The Sacramento utility is looking ahead for homes in their service area and realizes that a fully electric home may be the best way forward. The rebates, up to $13k on existing homes, serve to ready homes for a future without more gas infrastructure. This is the first of this concept that have typically pushed for water heaters, stoves etc to go gas and reduce electricity usage. The skeptic may look at this and see a utility that wants to have more customer base but it doesn’t appear to be true in this case.

LG Comes To Alabama. Another 500MW assembly plant has been announced, this time by LG. The plant is an add on to the existing campus LG has in the State of Alabama. Now, I have nothing against Alabama but why not North Carolina? We know it all centers around the cost of labor but for once it would be great if the manufacturer thought about the market dynamics a bit. Tease the State with the plant in return for a market perhaps? Now that we are well passed the 2GW of exclusion for cell imports, how will the US assemblers deal with this?

Remember SB 100. I covered the 100% RPS in California last year when it looked like it could pass the California legislature. This year that looks like an even better possibility. So remember the bill, SB 100, because I’m starting to increase my confidence that this could become reality. Over the past year, legislators have had the chance to see costs plummet on solar and storage and the pushback on the ability to do this is basically gone. Let’s put California, one of the largest economies in the world, on track to 100% by passing SB 100.

Presented by Sunrun. Sunrun is the largest residential solar, storage and energy services company in the United States with a mission to create a planet run by the sun. Since establishing the solar as a service model in 2007, Sunrun continues to lead the industry in providing clean energy to homeowners with little to no upfront cost and at savings to traditional electricity. Sunrun is excited to expand its solar offerings to Illinois residents.

Opinion

Have a great day!

Yann