This is your SolarWakeup for August 6th, 2020

The New SunPower. By all accounts from management, SunPower and Maxeon will be two separate companies this quarter. That means that the new SunPower will no longer have the burden of manufacturing and focus on being a large installation business. You can read all the details in their slides but a note on a data point that was spoken on the call, which is why you should always read the transcripts. In July, SunPower reached a new milestone of 1,000 appointments and exceeded that number every week since then. That means that demand for solar, at least from SunPower’s perspective, is stronger than ever. 

Owning The Infra. ChargePoint expanded its series H with another $127million in the bank. This is going to fuel the companies efforts on expansion and allow it to grow policy and marketing efforts. If this seems like a lot of money, think about how much money went into building a gas station on 50% of America’s corners.

1980 Oil Revisited. Oil production is down to May 1980 levels, a historic reminder that Trump probably doesn’t want to compare to. Unlike 1980, when Reagan took the solar thermal off the White House, the PV on the White House still stands that President Obama installed. Here’s where the ChargePoint story and oil production intersects. Electrification of cars means that oil and electricity is competing for the first time in a big way so it makes sense that Chevron is investing in ChargePoint and BP says its going to invest $5billion per year in renewables.

First Real Auto OEM Deal. Daimler getting in deep with CATL is a bigger headline than most realize. CATL is widely touted by battery experts as several generations ahead of the lithium batteries you tend to think of today. While Tesla has built what I would consider an almost perfect car, scientists look down on the battery architecture in the car and if Daimler executes on the collaboration it could be real competition. That being said, every car will be electric so it’s a bigger pie for everyone.

Come On Illinois. Illinois has the opportunity to keep the traction in clean energy moving forward. Especially in an era where utilities in the State are getting caught breaking the rules, we need to move beyond politics to get this passed.

Costco For Solar. Did you know that the largest buyer of toilet paper in America is Costco? You most likely did and that’s why so many of us pay to be part of the club. That was the inspiration behind SolarWakeup Buyer’s Group, go here for more info. 

Opinion

Best, Yann

This is your SolarWakeup for August 5th, 2020

Midweek Recap. The SolarWakeup Buyer’s Group is launched and we doubled in size yesterday alone. You too can join the group and save. More info here as well as online portal for easy registration.

Uber For Solar. Palmetto closed their series b with $29 million in new venture money. I talked with their CEO and President just a few months ago (here). The software company enables more residential solar to be built and helps those that want to get into the industry.

Ideology Meets Reality. Biden wants 100% by 2035 and some are getting stuck on the definition of 100%. I want to hear how we get to 100% even if it means 80% and how it would happen politically. What rules have to be changed and what markets open up for this industry to create opportunities for jobs and growth?

PG&E Has No Shame. PG&E, freshly out of bankruptcy and still a convicted felon, is offering incentives for energy storage installations. Except that the program, SGIP, is legislative and CALSSA, solar advocates and partners were the driving force to get the bill passed in spite and not because of PG&E. They may administer some of the funds but today is a good day to remember your need to renew or increase your funding for CALSSA.

Seeing Green. Solar stocks are hot, no denying that. It’s also great to see that solar pros that took a bet on their companies by getting paid in shares, options and stock grants are seeing a real return for their hard work. We have genuine 8 figure value creation in this industry now. Enphase reported yesterday, positive results but down for the quarter as expected with a positive guide for Q3 as well as being sold out of their energy storage system for Q3. SunPower and Vivint Solar report today after the market closes.

Not So Green. BP cut its dividend in half, that won’t be good for the investors that trust on that quarterly payment. 

Opinion

Best, Yann

This is your SolarWakeup for August 4th, 2020

SolarWakeup 3.0. 2 years ago I joined the residential solar market and it changed my view on everything. Armed with a great product and a strategy to talk to every solar installer in the Country, the conversations began. Since leaving Quick Mount in May, it has been my absolute focus to eliminate as much margin stacking and inefficiency levied on the residential solar installer. From the factory to the customer’s rooftop, products can double in cost due to those inefficiency. Most importantly, installers do not have a clear view of what they are paying for. Rebates, transportation, logistics, credit terms, margins all make up some of that cost. Some installers pay 50% more for a product just because. Let me be very clear, this week you will hear exactly how tenacious and resilient solar installers are across the Country. We all play our part in putting solar on every rooftop in America and together we will make it a mature, transparent and efficient market.

The SolarWakeup Buyer’s Group. Not all installers buy 200MW of product per year, most don’t and shouldn’t. That doesn’t mean that they shouldn’t have the ability to buy product competitively without markups for things they don’t need, namely logistics and credit. The SolarWakeup Buyer’s Group is a group purchasing cooperative that will provide access to installers to some of the most commonly used products at pricing that matches the scale of a top 10 installer. By this time next year I expect the buyer’s group to be the largest single block of purchasing in residential solar. As the Buyer’s Group grows, installers will benefit from each other driving the price down and expanding the product portfolio. Group purchasing organizations are active in many other industries and my expectation is that we can work together to create a sustainable purchasing community in solar as well. You can join the group online or if you want to have a conversation, hit reply to this email. 

A Community Project. The Buyer’s Group is born out of the community we’ve created over the past 8 years. Your support, ideas and feedback have made this a better product for the solar market. Stay tuned for more to come.

Earnings Season. SolarEdge posted better than expected earnings results beating the street’s estimates by a healthy amount. The headline of the earnings is that Q2 2020 for solar products was up 1% from Q2 2019. Pause for a moment to realize that solar is up year over year in a quarter entirely consumed by COVID related issues. Full earnings slides. Enphase reports tomorrow after market close.

Opinion

Best, Yann

This is your SolarWakeup for August 3rd, 2020

Venture Ventures. GE Ventures is continuing to divest its portfolio, with the latest deal selling GE’s shares in 11 startups to 40 North Ventures. This story has two points of relevance for our industry. First, some of the companies are in clean energy including Enbala, Volta and Proterra. Second, 40 North Ventures is part of Standard Industries which owns GAF and GAF Energy. GAF Energy is the roof integrated solar product that spun out from GAF last year but has been internally built at GAF for a decade.

VP Portfolio. Every VP list coming from DC pundits has Senator Harris at the top of the list. Typically, from a strategic standpoint, a vice presidential nominee with legislative power would put forth new bills that bolster issues relevant to the campaign. Senator Harris is about to introduce environmental justice legislation. This isn’t the first time, 15 years ago as the San Francisco District Attorney, Harris pursued environmental crimes that disproportionately targeted poor communities. The bridge between climate change, income inequality and fossil fuel generators exists and Senator Harris, potentially as VP candidate, will be making that case nationally.

2 Out Of 50. Bribery charges in Ohio and Illinois largely hasn’t surprised most in solar advocacy, maybe the scale of it, but we’ve all seen how utilities maneuver the legislative limbo. The New York Times comes in with a well written documentation that makes the issue understandable by those outside of the industry. The NY Times asks for opposing views, which will be interesting to read if they come out. The real story that I hope get picked up is that this is happening in every State. Each instance may differ in degree but with the right investigative budget, the New York Times would find dozens of reportable cases. Even better, the New York Times should hire Energy and Policy Institute to do the investigation.

Arizona RPS Laughs. A regulatory body that seemed aligned to increase the RPS in Arizona ended up closing the proceedings rather abruptly when a difference of opinion of how to proceed became apparent. Twitter had some fun with this one but I’ll leave you with the coverage. Let’s see if the regulators have their staff coordinate and come back with good news.

It’s Kentucky. 50MW PPA signed in Kentucky, if Kentucky wants more of that in the future residents can call their senior senator and ask for the ITC to be included in the stimulus package. 

Opinion

Best, Yann