This is your SolarWakeup for November 24th, 2020

What We Know. The GSA has authorized the funds for the Biden transition team to receive the funds and access to start the transition. It also appears that Trump authorized this move in the closest we’ve come to a conclusion to the election. States have begun certifying their elections including PA, MI and GA while California does so on the 11th of December, 3 days before the electoral college meets on the 14th. Remember, the Government runs out of money on the 11th of December unless Congress passes a budget or continuing resolution (CR) which would require Trump’s signature unless a veto override takes place.

Climate Change Is National Security. John Kerry is returning to the White House as special presidential envoy for climate. This is a new cabinet level role for the former Senator and Secretary of State and will sit as a full member of the national security council. Kerry capped his time at State with the Paris agreement and founded the global organization, world war zero. This elevates climate to a security role and opens the dialogue that foreign policy has to take the issue into account. Some are unhappy with the status quo message of Kerry taking the lead but you have to assume he hits the ground running with decades of relationships with foreign political and corporate leaders.

Look For A Domestic Equal. It is expected that another climate leader will be added to the White House to coordinate across the agencies on the domestic front. If you step back, you understand that ever cabinet secretary has a portfolio of policies that impact climate change and some coordination needs to take place. We still have no nomination for energy, transportation, interior or EPA. Expect that to give us more color going forward.

Subsidies? You’re Joking. It is laughable to say we are going to subsidize climate change away, at best we are going to let climate change solutions play on an equal playing field. Not even the subsidies that solar and wind get are on par with what oil and gas get and have been getting for decades, long after reaching maturity and never paying their share for the damage they’ve caused the planet. Utilities still receive guaranteed rate base for natural gas plants that are subsidized from the shale to the pipeline and the stack, leaving consumers and neighbors to pay for the damage. Renewables need no subsidies, as long as no other fuels and incumbents get them either and societal costs are factored in.

What Does GM Know? GM seems to think that Biden is thinking big about electric transportation, doing a big leap in acknowledging the future is all electric. In that press release, GM also dropped its support for Trumps fight against California and the state’s ability to regulate auto emissions separately. This could be as simple as shifting with the wind but could also mean that Biden is about to double down on California’s 2035 goal of no more internal combustion sales. The leader in California on the trend to electrify transportation both consumer, fleet and mass transit has been Mary Nichols, the chair of the California Air Resources Board. She was an assistant administrator at the EPA for President Clinton and would look great in the administrator’s office for President Biden. Maybe GM knows more than they let on?

Happy Thanksgiving! SolarWakeup is off for the rest of the week, returning on the 30th. You can stay in touch with us on LinkedIn or follow me on Twitter @yannbrandt. Of course, you can always hit reply to the morning email and let me know your thoughts. I’d be extra thankful if you forward this email and ask someone to subscribe to the newsletter.

When Will It Build? Here’s the question I have been pondering for a few weeks. If someone signs a contract to put solar on your house, when do you tell them it will be installed? How sure are you that enough product will be available when install time comes? We are entering the most complex 2 quarters residential solar has ever seen, backlogs are at an all-time high and supply chains are very tight. The Buyer’s Group is working through this and would love to talk with you about it. Reach out on the price discovery page. 

Opinion

Best, Yann

This is your SolarWakeup for November 23rd, 2020

Biden Gets Involved. The President-elect is getting involved in the debate for the next round of stimulus. He has set the marker alongside the House’s $2trillion which is more than the Senate and Trump have offered. This remains a long shot for solar to get any policies into it even though a national permitting standard would be ideal to get folks back to work. Watch the spending bill instead as talks heat up once Congress comes back on the 30th.
Aligning Climate With Business Lobby. All roads are leading towards a bigger tent for solar lobbying. Corporates want more renewables and they want the best deal possible. Corporations want solar electricity from solar farms, solar on their rooftops and let their employees working remotely do have that same luxury. So what does it look like when the Chamber of Commerce and SEIA lobby for the same policy? Or when oil companies fight for electricity deregulation?

Power Of Incumbency. The EPA Chief, who is less than 60 days from the end of his tenure, has a couple of international trips planned before leaving his office. They say that power corrupts and whether you’re the administrator of the EPA or the chair of the PUC, there are billions of dollars at play every single day all over this Country. This is more true in energy than anything else given that the monopolies that have served as the market incumbents for decades.

When Will It Build? Here’s the question I have been pondering for a few weeks. If someone signs a contract to put solar on your house, when do you tell them it will be installed? How sure are you that enough product will be available when install time comes? We are entering the most complex 2 quarters residential solar has ever seen, backlogs are at an all-time high and supply chains are very tight. The Buyer’s Group is working through this and would love to talk with you about it. Reach out on the price discovery page. 

Opinion

Best, Yann

This is your SolarWakeup for November 20th, 2020

Let’s Get Into The Weekend. Trump finally gets the green light to remove the 201 exemption for bifacial modules. This comes after a long line of litigation that delayed this. Biden would be well situated to give the market some certainty and announce a review of the 201 with the intention to eliminate the tariff with an announcement to help the solar industry create more domestic manufacturing.

A Word From A Policy Pro. A great friend to many solar pros, Tony Clifford, gives you 5 things to watch in the new Biden era.

PG&E Gets New CEO. The CEO of Michigan’s Consumers Energy is moving to the Golden State. Not to take advantage of the lower San Francisco rents but to become the next CEO of PG&E. Consumers was recently trying to eliminate net metering by cutting the value of solar in half while increasing residential rates by double digits. I hope Ms. Poppe will take the time to understand the benefits of solar and storage in the California grid.

841 Times 2222. FERC has shown its intentions with FERC orders 841 and 2222 which allow storage and other distributed resources to become market participants with both front and behind the meter installations. States are responsible with filing their plans on how this would work in their markets but interconnection rules will have to keep up at the same time. State policy advocates will have to work this in parallel.

Another VPP Headline. Sunrun is running away with virtual power plant offerings to utilities. We are still in very early stages of this market which will become one where all homeowners will be able to participate through aggregators. Owning the individual assets is an easy early adopter strategy but not one for the long run.

Not Just Cars. This week brought headlines on the policy movements in the transportation transition to electric vehicles. The broader point is that fleets, including vans, trucks and buses, are transitioning at a faster pace than consumer cars. One to watch.

Spotlight On Community Clinic. This 412 kW-DC solar carport installation at Vista Community Clinic (VCC) will provide long term renewable energy for the sustainability-driven healthcare facility. M Bar C Construction, CollectiveSun, and VCC leadership joined together in bringing this system from funding to design to installation. Solar energy produced from the installation will free up facility resources allowing VCC to continue to serve their patients and the surrounding community while setting a powerful example of their commitment to renewable energy. 

Opinion

Best, Yann

This is your SolarWakeup for November 19th, 2020

Climate Administration. This seems to be the insider track on how Biden will elevate the issue of climate change. Let’s see the execution and then ask if personnel is policy.

Money Coming In. Another SPAC, this time from legendary investor TJ Rodgers, plus some great venture investments. More to come I’m sure.

Partial Or Total. The electric vehicle policy path tends to be centered around whether EV is part of a portfolio or if there is a push to make it the only option for cars. I’d caution folks to put any auto/EV announcement as a versus Tesla framing, there are millions of cars sold every year and the market will not be winner take all.

A Map For Utilities. We have reached the point where energy transition equals the best financial case for consumers. Doing nothing, including staying in stranded fossil assets, will cost consumers more money and that’s the cost shift argument to watch.

Spotlight On Community Clinic. This 412 kW-DC solar carport installation at Vista Community Clinic (VCC) will provide long term renewable energy for the sustainability-driven healthcare facility. M Bar C Construction, CollectiveSun, and VCC leadership joined together in bringing this system from funding to design to installation. Solar energy produced from the installation will free up facility resources allowing VCC to continue to serve their patients and the surrounding community while setting a powerful example of their commitment to renewable energy. 

Opinion

Best, Yann