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The Cost of Growth. The rise of capacity cost is palpable and I think it may get worse. It’s the incremental MW/GW that raises the cost of every other GW in the auction because everyone wants to be the most valuable last power in the stack so everyone gets a piece. As demand grows, everyone wins on the generator side and loses on the consumer side of the ledger.
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Blackouts? Berlin’s energy infrastructure was attacked by arsonists, setting fire to a critical station that caused a blackout for tens of thousands in the area. We’ve seen other physical attempts to disrupt the grid in the US and certainly impacts from climate events. The big risk remains the digital attacks and of course the demand greater than supply exercise that we are certainly ignoring at some regulatory and legislative levels. One of the places that I see a passive approach (and it shouldn’t be) is the cyber related risk to energy storage systems that have a ton of internal communications as well as the coordination between the asset and the grid operators and traders that rely on millisecond response capabilities.
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